It Was A PIPE DREAM! - IIHS Study Says Self Driving Cars May Only Prevent A Third Of All Crashes At Best

Of course insurers funded a study to try to discredit self driving cars - it will be the end of their business model when this is adopted widely.

The IIHS will produce any data the insurance industry tells them to for the purpose of raising rates.

The report is flawed, because they are not assuming the majority of cars being self-driving. Of course they won't prevent many accidents if you have the unpredictable human controlling the other vehicle. When the majority of the vehicles are self-driving, that unpredictable-ness will be far, far lower. And don't forget they are planning the autonomous vehicles to have car2car communications, so each vehicle will know exactly what the others are planning. The only variable that will remain is humans (pedestrians) intruding on the roadway unexpectedly. They will likely still be accidents from those, but they will almost all be the fault of the human, not the vehicle.

All this is based on a highly evolved infrastructure to support it all. None of which of course exists yet, so such vehicles are many, many years away. I would guess not in my lifetime.

While the study isn’t perfect, it isn’t entirely flawed either considering one of the biggest advocates of self driving cars, Elon Musk claimed the cars reduced accidents by 50% and speaking presently.

The fact of the matter is the majority of cars rely on human drivers today and we don’t know when that will change and the new challenges that will bring, so I think it’s important to state where we are presently, rather than give hypotheticals as if everyone had a self driving car.

We’ve seen these self driving cars malfunction, over correct in different driving/weather conditions, had it not been for those malfunctioning cars being surrounded by human driven cars, who knows how other self driven cars would have reacted to a single vehicle’s malfunction/mistake

Time will only tell but until Tesla’s stop running in the side of semis and dump trucks, I’m good with my own skills for now

How many years will it take before self driving cars out number driven cars? Before all cars are self driven? Think about it.

Once the functionality is out there, it won't be long. The driving we do today would be like driving a horse, something you do for fun some of the time.

Did the soy boy say "driving a horse"?

Massive liability concerns will prevent true self driving from being legal, except in a very tightly controlled situation, e.g. a single highway lane dedicated to autonomous semis only.